NFL Week 10 betting nuggets

Underdogs proceed to dominate this NFL season, going 20-7-1 ATS over the past two weeks, with a profitable outright document every week. Underdogs are masking over 57 p.c of the time for the season.

One of many underdogs to win final week was the Jacksonville Jaguars, who pulled off the most important upset of the NFL season once they upset the Buffalo Bills as 15.5-point underdogs. Buffalo is a giant favourite once more this week because it turns into the primary crew for the reason that 2007 New England Patriots to be favored by not less than 12 factors in three straight video games.

Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers are anticipated to return this week. Rodgers’ Green Bay Packers have lined eight video games in a row, their longest streak within the Super Bowl period. Wilson is 24-12-2 ATS as an underdog in his profession.

The second-longest cowl streak belongs to the Tennessee Titans at 5 straight, together with 4 straight outright wins as an underdog. This week, the Titans are again within the favourite position in opposition to the New Orleans Saints, who’ve additionally excelled as underdogs, going 3-0 outright.

Week 9 Recap

• Underdogs: 10-3 ATS, 7-6 outright final week. 77-57-1 ATS, 54-81 outright this season.

• Highway groups: 10-4 ATS, 7-7 outright final week. 77-58-1 ATS, 70-66 outright this season.

• Unders: 7-7 final week, 73-61-2 this season.

Season Recap

• Finest groups ATS: Inexperienced Bay Packers (8-1), Dallas Cowboys (7-1), Arizona Cardinals (7-2), Tennessee Titans (7-2)

• Worst groups ATS: Washington Soccer Staff (1-7), Kansas City Chiefs (2-7), New York Jets (2-6), San Francisco 49ers (2-6)

• Groups favored in each sport: Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Groups underdog in each sport: Houston Texans, New York Jets, Detroit Lions

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-10.5), Sunday at 1 ET

  • Indianapolis has lined 5 of its final six video games, and has lined 4 straight video games in opposition to groups with dropping information.

  • Since 1990, groups coming off an upset win as a 14-point underdog are 4-14-1 ATS. Nonetheless, each instances it occurred final season, the crew received outright once more as an underdog. The New York Jets upset Cleveland as a 6.5-point underdog, whereas Cincinnati upset Houston as a 7.5-point underdog, each in Week 16.

Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-2.5), Sunday at 1 ET

  • New England has lined three straight video games.

  • New England has gone over the full in 4 straight video games after going beneath the full in its first 4 video games.

  • Cleveland is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this season and is 5-1 ATS in its final six video games as an underdog together with final season’s postseason.

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5), Sunday at 1 ET

  • Dallas is 7-1 ATS this season, however it’s coming off its first non-cover of the season. Dallas is 5-0 ATS in convention video games.

  • Atlanta has lined three straight street video games.

  • Atlanta has lined 4 of the final 5 conferences in opposition to Dallas, together with final season’s matchup when Atlanta misplaced 40-39 as a 3-point underdog. Dallas overcame a 20-0 deficit to win outright.

Buffalo Payments (-13) at New York Jets, Sunday at 1 ET

  • Buffalo has not been a double-digit favourite in opposition to New York since 1992. Buffalo is 0-3 outright as a double-digit favourite in opposition to New York.

  • Buffalo video games are 9-1 to the beneath after a loss since 2019 and 5-0 to the beneath since final season.

  • Double-digit residence underdogs are 3-0 ATS and 2-1 outright this season, all since Week 8.

  • New York has gone over the full in 5 straight video games after going beneath within the first three video games.

  • New York is one among three groups to be an underdog in each sport (Detroit, Houston).

  • New York has received its final two residence video games outright as not less than six-point underdogs.

New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (-3), Sunday at 1 ET

  • New Orleans is 49-26 ATS after a loss beneath Sean Payton.

  • New Orleans is 3-0 outright and ATS as an underdog this season, and it’s 4-0 ATS when not favored by not less than three factors. New Orleans is 3-0 ATS in opposition to groups with profitable information.

  • New Orleans is 31-13 ATS on the street since 2016 (14-5 ATS as street underdog). Since 2018, New Orleans is 7-1 ATS as a street underdog.

  • New Orleans is 13-4 ATS when the road is between +3 and -3 since 2018.

  • Tennessee has received and lined 5 straight video games, the final 4 as an underdog. Tennessee is 2-2 ATS outright and ATS as a favourite this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9.5) at Washington Soccer Staff, Sunday at 1 ET

  • Washington is 1-7 ATS total, the worst mark within the NFL. Washington is 0-5 ATS, 0-4 ATS at residence, and 0-6 ATS in opposition to groups with profitable information.

  • Taylor Heinicke is 2-7 ATS in his profession together with the playoffs. A kind of covers got here in final season’s NFC Wild Card Recreation as Washington (+8.5) lined at residence vs Tampa Bay (misplaced by 8).

  • Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS on the street this season.

  • Tom Brady is 12-7 ATS in his profession off a bye, together with 4 straight covers.

Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers (-9), Sunday at 1 ET

  • Over the past 5 seasons, groups coming off a bye week are 3-11 ATS in opposition to groups coming off a Monday Evening Soccer sport, together with 0-2 ATS this season.

  • Groups 0-5 or worse outright are 18-6 ATS when coming off a bye since byes have been reintroduced in 1990.

  • Pittsburgh has did not cowl eight straight instances as a favourite together with the playoffs, going 3-5 outright in that span.

  • Detroit is 8-1 ATS after a bye week since 2012.

  • 5 of Detroit’s final six video games have gone beneath the full.

  • Detroit is one among three groups to be an underdog in each sport (New York Jets, Houston).

Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5), Sunday at 4:05 ET

  • Minnesota is 32-16-1 ATS after a loss beneath Mike Zimmer (since 2014).

  • Minnesota has performed seven one-score video games, most within the NFL, together with three time beyond regulation video games and 4 video games determined by three factors or fewer.

  • Minnesota is 0-5 outright in opposition to groups with profitable information (2-3 ATS) and 3-0 outright in opposition to groups with dropping information (2-1 ATS).

  • All 4 Minnesota street video games have gone over the full.

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (-10), Sunday at 4:05 ET

  • Arizona is 7-2 ATS this season and 6-1 ATS in its final seven video games.

  • Carolina is 9-3 ATS in street video games beneath Matt Rhule.

  • Matt Rhule is 2-0 ATS as an underdog of not less than 9 factors and has by no means been an underdog of greater than 10 factors.

  • Arizona is 4-0 ATS as a favourite of not less than seven factors beneath Kliff Kingsbury with all 4 video games going beneath the full.

Seattle Seahawks at Inexperienced Bay Packers (-5), Sunday at 4:25 ET

  • Inexperienced Bay is 8-1 ATS this season with eight straight covers. It is the longest cowl streak Inexperienced Bay has had within the Super Bowl period, and it ties 2020 Buffalo for the longest cowl streak within the final three seasons. The last more streak was by New Orleans in 2018 (9 straight).

  • Inexperienced Bay is 3-0 ATS at residence this season and 4-0 ATS in opposition to groups with dropping information.

  • Russell Wilson is 10-1 ATS as an underdog of not less than 4 factors (7-4 outright). He’s 24-12-2 ATS as an underdog (19-18-1 SU).

Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos (-2.5), Sunday at 4:25 ET

  • Denver is 4-0 ATS in opposition to groups with dropping information this season. Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in opposition to groups with profitable information.

  • Denver video games are 7-2 to the beneath this season, together with three straight unders.

  • Teddy Bridgewater is 3-6 outright and ATS as a favourite since 2018, and he’s 2-5 outright and ATS as a favourite since 2020. Denver is 2-2 as a favourite this season.

  • Denver is 3-0 ATS in opposition to NFC East groups this season.

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (-2.5) at Las Vegas Raiders, Sunday at 8:20 ET

  • Kansas Metropolis is 0-6 ATS this season in opposition to groups at the moment with profitable information and 2-7 ATS total.

  • Kansas Metropolis is 0-5 ATS in opposition to AFC opponents this season.

  • Patrick Mahomes is 1-5 ATS in opposition to AFC West opponents after starting his profession 10-3 ATS in opposition to them.

  • Las Vegas is 3-1 outright and ATS as an underdog this season.

  • Overs are 10-2 at Allegiant Stadium because it opened final season.

Los Angeles Rams (-4) at San Francisco 49ers, Monday at 8:15 ET

  • San Francisco is 0-4 ATS at residence this season.

  • San Francisco is 0-3 ATS in division video games this season.

  • Los Angeles is 15-6 ATS after a loss beneath Sean McVay (11-3 ATS since 2019).

  • Los Angeles has did not cowl three straight video games.

  • Residence groups are 6-2 ATS on Monday Evening Soccer this season, and underdogs have lined 4 straight. Residence underdogs are 3-0 ATS and 2-1 outright on Monday Evening Soccer this season.

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